ANALISIS PENGARUH INFLASI DAN NILAI TUKAR EKSPOR DI PROVINSI LAMPUNG DALAM PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM

Abstract

Economic issues have always been an important concern for governments in countries around the world in particular developing countries, namely Indonesia, is inflation. The aim of this research is to analyze the influence of export values, interest rates and the Rupiah exchange rate. Various economic factors, including inflation, exports, imports and changes in exchange rates, affect Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. Domestic inflation is very important in determining a country's currency and stability. If inflation is high, the exchange rate will increase, which will ultimately have an impact on the size of the country's foreign exchange reserves. Therefore, controlling inflation is very important in maintaining the stability of foreign exchange reserves. Exports and imports also have a significant effect on a country's foreign exchange reserves. The higher exports indicate that the country is more advanced and able to generate foreign exchange reserves. Imports are the opposite of exports. The country's foreign exchange reserves are usually used to pay for import activities. This means that the country's foreign exchange reserves will decrease if imports increase. This research uses time series data from 2010 to 2020, so the analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). Based on the research results, it was found that to increase the country's foreign exchange reserves, it is necessary to increase the value of exports and exchange rate stability and reduce inflation